Waiting for the Seasonal sell signal in the NASDAQ, other sector trades come to and end in June. Gearing up for a sideways market is the plan now, until the strong months again come later this year.
Valuations are compelling in Emerging Markets, but momentum is weak. Seasonally, June is weak. Gold and silver show strength against dollar weakness.
We take a first glance at Bank of America research on which sectors will benefit under the four possible election results in the US. Meanwhile, US sector rotation is visible. Investors are moving from technology to industrials. Emerging markets are holding up, also. Gold and Silver are flat. Barron’s highlights the possibility of Japan and Read more ➝
This week we review how US real negative interest rates have pressured the USD while giving strength to the Euro and some emerging market currencies and sovereign debt. We look at commodities, FAANG stocks, china and even Vietnam.
Friday Investment Talk: Gaming Companies and TAM, Momentum Stock Sell Off, Hedging with ETFs, Natural Gas and Gazprom
We cover everything from gaming market size to natural gas prices. We even give a glimpse of some of the research tools we use to find secor based ETFs. Momentum stocks and hedging ideas are also tossed around in this week’s short session.
July and the second half of the year have started off consistent with historical trends and patterns. The first trading day was mostly positive with S&P 500 and NASDAQ recording gains. However, July has historically been a month of transition with gains early and weakness in the second half. Meanwhile, three seasonal tredns start in July.
There are 13 sector seasonalities that enter favorable periods in October. some last only a few months, others half the year. Entry levels and expected returns are exposed.
Below we show a correlation matrix of some of the more popular US ETFs. As a reminder, the closer the correlation is to +1 the stronger the positive relationship. And the closer the number to —1 the stronger the negative relationship. How can we use this knowledge? Two ways: Diversification. One of the tenants of Read more ➝
One of the bright spots in the commodities asset class, as well as the broader market this year, has been precious metals. In Q2 2019 among all alternative assets, precious metals ETFs were well represented in the top ten.
The recent rally in precious metals presents a few questions. Why this type of performance in precious metals? How have technicals improved as a result?
July starts strong, but often finishes weaker. The week after Options Expiration week – this year starting on the 22nd – can be particularly volatile. July ends the NASDAQ’s best eight months, and starts its worst four months . We will provide notification when the NASDAQ sell signal comes.