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Last week, BoA published two articles that seemingly opposing forecasts for global equity markets. After closer look, BoA puts forth a strong case for sector rotation, as the global economy performs a soft-landing.
When looking at the seasonal patterns for election years, like 2024, mostly bullish patterns appear for the US markets. The most bullish scenario is when there is a sitting president running for reelection. In those years, NASDAQ has averaged a full-year gain of 19.14%. This is much stronger than the 12.73% average gain in all …

Election Years: Importance of Incumbant Read More »

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Two companies seem poised for continued strong upside appreciation. Overall descretionary healthcare spend still increasing.
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As Hyperscalers like Microsoft and Amazon develop their cloud computing, one chip stock stands to benefit as the companies build specific chips for their servers.
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December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.
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November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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Usually Octobers turn back on the bullish signals for the market. In pre-election years Octobers can be very weak, however.
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Simple sell signals are appearing, including the lack of momentum in leading stocks recently. July in pre-election years is weaker than average Julys. A NASDAQ mid-July rally could occur.
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In stark contrast to last year, 2023 is off to a bullish start. S&P 500 finished the month strong with a 6.2% gain. The January Barometer is positive! This is the best S&P January since 2019 which was also the last year the S&P 500 completed our bullish January Indicator Trifecta. The January Indicator Trifecta …

January’s Forecast for 2023 Read More »

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With greater than 5% gain in the main US indexes in both October and November this year, December is expected to start slow and then gain steam as the Santa Clause Rally comes to town.
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