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Tag: XLI

Friday Investment Talk: Bonds, Seasonality, and Market Breadth

While bonds yields are hopelessly low, managers look for yield in stocks. Seasonality is turning bullish and market breadth is increasing.

Friday Investment Talk: US Elections, Seasonality, Europe, Japan and Emerging Markets

FIT Sept 18 2020

We take a first glance at Bank of America research on which sectors will benefit under the four possible election results in the US. Meanwhile, US sector rotation is visible. Investors are moving from technology to industrials. Emerging markets are holding up, also. Gold and Silver are flat. Barron’s highlights the possibility of Japan and …

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Seasonal ETF Trade Updates

July and the second half of the year have started off consistent with historical trends and patterns. The first trading day was mostly positive with S&P 500 and NASDAQ recording gains. However, July has historically been a month of transition with gains early and weakness in the second half. Meanwhile, three seasonal tredns start in July.
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Friday Investment Talk: Overbought Markets Headed Into Summer

Friday Investment Talks
Stocks are still bullish from a technical point of view - the Put/Call ratio is overbought, but not yet negative. All time highs for percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages (95%). Seasonality is generally weak in summer months, but summers are better in election years than other months in election years, and better than in summer months in non-election years. Research from Bank of America, Cylicals could take the lead in the summer, as social media and tech companies under polical pressure.

Seasonal Trading Strategy: Sector ETF price update

ETF buy now
We lay out the buy points and stop losses for the Tactical ETF Portfolios based on the the Seasonal Trade Strategy
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Seasonal Trade Strategy: Sector ETFs

Seasonality Trades
There are 13 sector seasonalities that enter favorable periods in October. some last only a few months, others half the year. Entry levels and expected returns are exposed.
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Correlations: How To Really Diversify

correlations with SPY (short)

Below we show a correlation matrix of some of the more popular US ETFs. As a reminder, the closer the correlation is to +1 the stronger the positive relationship. And the closer the number to —1 the stronger the negative relationship. How can we use this knowledge? Two ways: Diversification. One of the tenants of …

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Seasonal Trade Strategy: July

July starts strong, but often finishes weaker. The week after Options Expiration week – this year starting on the 22nd – can be particularly volatile. July ends the NASDAQ’s best eight months, and starts its worst four months . We will provide notification when the NASDAQ sell signal comes.
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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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