FIT Sept 18 2020

Friday Investment Talk: US Elections, Seasonality, Europe, Japan and Emerging Markets

We take a first glance at Bank of America research on which sectors will benefit under the four possible election results in the US. Meanwhile, US sector rotation is visible. Investors are moving from technology to industrials. Emerging markets are holding up, also. Gold and Silver are flat. Barron’s highlights the possibility of Japan and Read more ➝

Seasonal ETF Trade Updates

July and the second half of the year have started off consistent with historical trends and patterns. The first trading day was mostly positive with S&P 500 and NASDAQ recording gains. However, July has historically been a month of transition with gains early and weakness in the second half. Meanwhile, three seasonal tredns start in July.

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Friday Investment Talks

Friday Investment Talk: Overbought Markets Headed Into Summer

Stocks are still bullish from a technical point of view – the Put/Call ratio is overbought, but not yet negative.

All time highs for percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages (95%).

Seasonality is generally weak in summer months, but summers are better in election years than other months in election years, and better than in summer months in non-election years. Research from Bank of America,

Cylicals could take the lead in the summer, as social media and tech companies under polical pressure.

Seasonal Trade Strategy: July

July starts strong, but often finishes weaker. The week after Options Expiration week – this year starting on the 22nd – can be particularly volatile. July ends the NASDAQ’s best eight months, and starts its worst four months . We will provide notification when the NASDAQ sell signal comes.

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