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April Outlook: Bear Market Bounce

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, AVC Pro Subscription, Investment ideas, Personal financeTags: , , , , , ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

Everyone seems to be hoping for the stock market to find support here, already so much damage has been done.

A great deal of uncertainty remains for the world economy and health crisis. April looks like a good time for a bear market bounce.

Further out, investors should experience a rough ride in the market this year with quite a bit of choppy trading.

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A Bull Trap?

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, Investment ideas, Personal financeTags:
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

Today, US stocks were finally able to stage a rally that lasted from opening bell to the close. That has not been the case for a very long time.

Remember, a one day move does not make a trend. We need to see if the bulls can even hold this rally for more than a day. Our feeling is they likely will be able to.

The Battle with COVID-19

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, AVC Pro Subscription, Personal financeTags: , , , ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

One of the fastest and most furious declines in stock market history has taken place . While similar declines have occured, they did not come as rapidlynor straight off a new all-time high. we cannot know if we have hit bottom yet – bottoms are only visible with a bit more hindsight. So speculating on the timing of a rebound, rally and recovery needs some leadership response.

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Today’s Troubles Are Future’s Fortunes

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, Investment ideas, News, Personal financeTags: ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

Volaitlity is spiking to levels not seen since 2008. Should long-term minded investors run for shelter?
With no light at the end of the tunnel these bleak times seem desperate. But what happens usually after VIX spikes like the one we are currently experiencing? We look at the months and years after intense volaitility to find solace in the future of the economy.

Coronavirus kills the Bull

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, AVC Pro Subscription, Personal finance, Без категорииTags: , , ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

After the close on Thursday, the main US markets entered a bear market for the first time in 11 years. A simple virus killed the bull.

How long do bear markets last, and are they always accompanied by a recession? We take a look at history to find answers.

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US Stock Market Update: Internals

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, Investing basics, Personal financeTags: , , , , , , ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

Volatility in the US has exploded, throwing the markets into disarray. The intermediate-term trend is bearish, with extreme oversold conditions likely to produce sharp, but short-lived, rallies. We will look at some important indicators to see how oversold the markets are and what usually happens at times when markets sell off quickly.

Seasonal Update: Tech and Utilities

Author: Christopher Davies Posted in: Analytics, AVC Pro Subscription, Personal financeTags: , , , , , , , ,
, March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years

Large daily moves in both directions of 2-5% and huge intraday swings have taken a toll on markets and psyches. But the February 28 low has held through this week’s wild swings.

According to sector seasonality, there are two sectors that begin their seasonally favorable periods in March: High-Tech and Utilities.

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