US markets year to date (YTD)

April Outlook: Bear Market Bounce

Everyone seems to be hoping for the stock market to find support here, already so much damage has been done.

A great deal of uncertainty remains for the world economy and health crisis. April looks like a good time for a bear market bounce.

Further out, investors should experience a rough ride in the market this year with quite a bit of choppy trading.

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Today’s Troubles Are Future’s Fortunes

Volaitlity is spiking to levels not seen since 2008. Should long-term minded investors run for shelter?
With no light at the end of the tunnel these bleak times seem desperate. But what happens usually after VIX spikes like the one we are currently experiencing? We look at the months and years after intense volaitility to find solace in the future of the economy.

market vol rollarocaster

Seasonal Update: Tech and Utilities

Large daily moves in both directions of 2-5% and huge intraday swings have taken a toll on markets and psyches. But the February 28 low has held through this week’s wild swings.

According to sector seasonality, there are two sectors that begin their seasonally favorable periods in March: High-Tech and Utilities.

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sector dispersion

Sector Momentum & Relative Strength Outperformance

Relative strength-based investing performs best when there is a high level of dispersion between market leaders and laggards. Since the beginning of this year, this has been the case. Semicondutors, software, waste management and computer technology sectors are leading, while oil related stocks are lagging.

Using relative strength-based investing strategies can lead to significant long term market outperfomance compared to ‘buy and hold’ strategies.