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Tag: SPX

December Stay Bullish

December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.

Pre-Election Year November

November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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September’s Dark Side

Dark Side

September is historically one of the weakest months for equities, and so far, the month is living up to its reputation. Through 9/15, the S&P 500 (SPX) is down about 1.3%, but for the month that holds the “weakest month of the year” title that seems a bit tame. Studies show that it has historically …

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Weak August but Strong September?

Step Carefully
September gets no respite from positive pre-election year forces. Positive year returns going into what becomes a bad August leads to a better chance of September being a decent month, however.
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Volatility and Future Returns

With realized market volatility remaining muted in recent weeks and expected volatility (i.e., the VIX) sitting at multi-year lows, today we examined the relationship in the perspective of forward returns.
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Friday Investment Talk: China, Gold, Inflation

Chinese stocks breakout
US markets besieged by unexpected inflation data. Chinese stocks get a boost from stimulus. Gold looks bullish.
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May is Worse

May shows poor performance in mid term election years, especially in the mid part of the month.
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April Powers

April Power
April is historically a great month for stocks. However, in mid-term election years like 2022, its just mediocre.
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Friday Investment Talk: Markets Rebound

Markets staged a massive rebound this week, led by some of the worst performing stocks including Chinese and tech names. Investors took their lead from the US Federal Reserves hawkish comments supporting sustained interest rate hikes to control inflation while not reducing GDP growth expectations. Buy signals sprouted across many indicators. Put/Call Ratios are rolling …

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Friday Investment Talk: Bond Yields, AVC Investment Strategy, Recession

Bond Yields are nearing 2% in US and Italy. This has killed the long term Austrian bond we love to look at. Investing in energy, precious metals and defense contractors has paid off since the start of the year. Our strategies show strong outperformance compared to the $SPX. Recession is predicted by the S&P 500 …

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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