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Tag: SPX

December Stay Bullish

December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.

Pre-Election Year November

November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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September’s Dark Side

Dark Side

September is historically one of the weakest months for equities, and so far, the month is living up to its reputation. Through 9/15, the S&P 500 (SPX) is down about 1.3%, but for the month that holds the “weakest month of the year” title that seems a bit tame. Studies show that it has historically …

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Weak August but Strong September?

Step Carefully
September gets no respite from positive pre-election year forces. Positive year returns going into what becomes a bad August leads to a better chance of September being a decent month, however.
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Volatility and Future Returns

With realized market volatility remaining muted in recent weeks and expected volatility (i.e., the VIX) sitting at multi-year lows, today we examined the relationship in the perspective of forward returns.
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May is Worse

May shows poor performance in mid term election years, especially in the mid part of the month.
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April Powers

April Power
April is historically a great month for stocks. However, in mid-term election years like 2022, its just mediocre.
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March Relief

In mid-term election years, US markets perform generally well in March. Leadership in small caps stocks is discernible.
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Hot CPI

Today's hot CPI numbers burned the market. The Fed's Bullard gets hawkish and may spell problems for the market going forward in February.
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More Volatility in February

While the fundamental economic outlook remains positive for US markets, inflation and high stock multiples are wearing on investor sentiment. February could offer a reprieve for the market in the volatile mid-term election year.
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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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