‘Sell in May’ critics are running wild this year. Meanwhile, bearish trends are usually strong in the next six months. Historically, these months warrant caution.
Friday Investment Talk: Chinese Consumers, E-Commerce, Space Exploration, Seasonality, Small Caps and Bitcoin Bubbles, and OZON
Fidelity is bullish on China. Goldman Sachs likes OZON. ARK’s Cathie Wood likes space exploration. But, seasonality does not bode well for markets in late January/February.
As US elections approach we take a look at how election results move markets. We go through 10 lessons for all investors who are nervous going into the elections. History shows that there is nothing to be afraid of except uncertainty. Markets look bullish for October based on the AAII Investors Sentiment Survey and several Read more ➝
Friday Investment Talk: Gaming Companies and TAM, Momentum Stock Sell Off, Hedging with ETFs, Natural Gas and Gazprom
We cover everything from gaming market size to natural gas prices. We even give a glimpse of some of the research tools we use to find secor based ETFs. Momentum stocks and hedging ideas are also tossed around in this week’s short session.
This Friday we follow up on our ESG webinar from Wednesday. ESG ETFs have witnessed explosive growth in terms of AUM and number of listings. ESG outperfomance vis-a-vis SPX and even the NDX is evident lately. Certain institutional investors have pushed this stretched trend recently. Many market indicators (both fundamental and technical) are very overbought. Read more ➝
Here we update our Dividend Investment Research (DIR) that we initiated last month.
In our momentum appraoch, we run monthly screens that show the top performing stocks from each of 6 Dividend ETF categories.
Markets are still bullish, although even more overbought than last week. Today’s unexpected employment report provides fuel for higher prices. MLPs are leading momentum in all high dividend paying ETFs. Defense and Transportation (Airlines) showed strength this week. Value plays have rebounded sharply, while software companies look vulnerable with high valuations. Defaults are rising. Investors have piled money into cash equivalents. We look at the EUR/USD and Palladium also.
Large daily moves in both directions of 2-5% and huge intraday swings have taken a toll on markets and psyches. But the February 28 low has held through this week’s wild swings.
According to sector seasonality, there are two sectors that begin their seasonally favorable periods in March: High-Tech and Utilities.
Markets are up strongly since we turned bullish. We expect that momentum to continue after a mild pullback. Overbought signals are here.
Markets are up strongly since issuing the recent Buy Signal. The next two weeks often have retracements of monst of the gains in the first days of November. This mid-November weakness is a good time to add to positions.