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Tag: Seasonality

May Should Be Worse

Following 5 months of gains, April will likely end with a first negative monthly return in 2024. This provides worry for a weak May also.

What Kind of Rally will Santa Claus Bring This Year?

The Santa Claus Rally is a phenomenon in the stock markets that consists of a rise in stock prices from the last week of December to the first two days of January. The S&P 500 has averaged gains of 1.10% in retrospect during this rally. Will there be a Santa Claus Rally this year?

Election Years: Importance of Incumbant

When looking at the seasonal patterns for election years, like 2024, mostly bullish patterns appear for the US markets. The most bullish scenario is when there is a sitting president running for reelection. In those years, NASDAQ has averaged a full-year gain of 19.14%. This is much stronger than the 12.73% average gain in all …

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Bounce After (Tax) Harvest

Rabbit jumping
A list of stocks likely to bounce after tax loss harvesting.
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December Stay Bullish

December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.
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Pre-Election Year November

November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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September’s Dark Side

Dark Side

September is historically one of the weakest months for equities, and so far, the month is living up to its reputation. Through 9/15, the S&P 500 (SPX) is down about 1.3%, but for the month that holds the “weakest month of the year” title that seems a bit tame. Studies show that it has historically …

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Weak August but Strong September?

Step Carefully
September gets no respite from positive pre-election year forces. Positive year returns going into what becomes a bad August leads to a better chance of September being a decent month, however.
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No Bulls in May

Sell In May
May is not an inspiring month for investors. Only a couple of sectors usually post positive gains. Election years are no different.
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January’s Forecast for 2023

In stark contrast to last year, 2023 is off to a bullish start. S&P 500 finished the month strong with a 6.2% gain. The January Barometer is positive! This is the best S&P January since 2019 which was also the last year the S&P 500 completed our bullish January Indicator Trifecta. The January Indicator Trifecta …

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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