May shows poor performance in mid term election years, especially in the mid part of the month.
April is historically a great month for stocks. However, in mid-term election years like 2022, its just mediocre.
What is the probability now of a recession? With employment optimism pitted against inflation pessimism, we look at the odds.
A surprising Russian invasion in Ukraine has thrown the world back to a Cold War status. Mid-term election years are when these types of political and economic upheavals usually reveal their ugly heads. Going forward the market will work to find a bottom during a likely volatile year for investors.
In mid-term election years, US markets perform generally well in March. Leadership in small caps stocks is discernible.
February has been getting lousier for investors. The first half is usually better than the second. Utilities and High Tech start bullish seasonal trends soon.
While the fundamental economic outlook remains positive for US markets, inflation and high stock multiples are wearing on investor sentiment. February could offer a reprieve for the market in the volatile mid-term election year.
Mid-Term Januarys usually provide less than optimal market conditions for investors. They also are less prescriptive of the rest of the year’s returns.
Markets sold off on the day after Thanksgiving in the US. What is typically a bullish period for the markets proved an undoing. The markets had their worst day of the year in 2021 and the worst Black Friday since 1931. Turkey is suffering an economic meltdown that is spreading to civic unrest. The lira Read more ➝
Post-election year Decembers are weaker than in other years. There are plenty of bullish days towards the end of the month that investors can take advantage of.