Seasonal ETF Trade Updates
July and the second half of the year have started off consistent with historical trends and patterns. The first trading day was mostly positive with S&P 500 and NASDAQ recording gains. However, July has historically been a month of transition with gains early and weakness in the second half. Meanwhile, three seasonal tredns start in July.
Friday Investment Talk: Fallen Angels, Gold vs Miners, and Weak Seasonality
AVC partners discuss corporate bonds from some surprising names now considered “Fallen Angels”. Gold, inflation and the undervalued gold miners are discussed in relation to the current overbought market. Thursday’s huge sell off is a set up for a last run of strength before real seasonal weakness sets in.
China and the QQQs
US and China tensions are beginning to boil over after China passed a plan to increase its security presence in Hong Kong.
The US State Department no longer considers Hong Kong to have significant autonomy and now threatens to revoke the special current special status it enjoys.
Which US listed companies derive large amounts of revenue from Hong Kong and China? We look at how changes affect these companies and the indexes they comprise.
Seasonal Strategy Update: Tactical Switch
The best six months of the year for certain US stock indexes has ended. A defensive stance is warranted as the summer months arrive.
The Battle with COVID-19
One of the fastest and most furious declines in stock market history has taken place . While similar declines have occured, they did not come as rapidlynor straight off a new all-time high. we cannot know if we have hit bottom yet – bottoms are only visible with a bit more hindsight. So speculating on the timing of a rebound, rally and recovery needs some leadership response.
Seasonal Trades and Portfolio Update
Natural Gas, Energy and Copper still have to show signs of life to fulfill their usual bullish winter runs. Meanwhile, Strong US equity markets have lead to excellent returns in the model portfolios that adhere to seasonal trade stratagies. Expect some modest seasonal weakness soon, though.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: Look for Weakness
Markets are up strongly since we turned bullish. We expect that momentum to continue after a mild pullback. Overbought signals are here.
Seasonal Trading Strategy: Buy signal
Suddenly, the market turns bullish. The seasonal bull run has begun and investors are jumping in.
Basic Guidelines to Decrease Portfolio Risk
With the US economic indicators faltering, everyone wants ideas on how to reduce their invetsment portfolio risk. Here are so ideas, and also a simple analysis of which US sectors are performing well.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: Not Yet Bullish
The Seasonal Buy Signal is on Hold. The bull market is still in waiting.