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Friday Investment Talk: Gaming Companies and TAM, Momentum Stock Sell Off, Hedging with ETFs, Natural Gas and Gazprom

Gaming market
We cover everything from gaming market size to natural gas prices. We even give a glimpse of some of the research tools we use to find secor based ETFs. Momentum stocks and hedging ideas are also tossed around in this week's short session.

Friday Investment Talk: Valuations, Growth to Value Transition, Gold and Healthcare Stocks

Investment Talks

Are markets overbought? The narrow bull market in FAANG and some other technology stocks has led to concern among analysts that stocks are out of sync with the economy. We explore how interest rate assumptions affect analyst pricing in discounted cash flow models and lead to inflated asset prices.  A discussion of the opposite case …

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Friday Investment Talk: Gold, Interest Rates, Russia and Natural Gas, China, Fuel Cells and EVs

FIT July 10

July remains bullish as low interest rates fuel stock returns and gold gains. Russia can be viewed as a high dividend value opportunity if oil prices can remain elevated, and natural gas prices stabilize. A note from Merrill Lynch outlines the demand for hydrogen fuel cells that support natural gas (UNG) prices. China continues to …

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Friday Investment Talk: Brexit and EU during COVID, US Fed Actions, Inflation and the Summer Market

FIT COVID EU BREXIT
As Europe reopens, UK's BOE announces the economic recovery will be 'V-shaped'. Tourist travel seems to be picking up and markets (especially tech stocks) reacted well - as is usual in this seasonal bullish period. Q2 earnings reports are on the horizon, with stocks priced for perfection. Fiscal stimilus is ending in the US as government transfer reciepts and other forms of unemployment support expire. As elections come to the forefront and COVID cases increase further aid is likely. The effects on inflation will be muted until employment levels come back and wages increase.

Seasonal ETF Trade Updates

July and the second half of the year have started off consistent with historical trends and patterns. The first trading day was mostly positive with S&P 500 and NASDAQ recording gains. However, July has historically been a month of transition with gains early and weakness in the second half. Meanwhile, three seasonal tredns start in July.
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July Outlook Update: More COVID Threatens Rally

The increase is COVID cases in the US along with the upcoming presidential election make for an interesting summer of investors. July through October performance is a high predictor of the election. Is a July rally likely?
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Friday Investment Talk: Russian Taxes, Market Valuation, MLPs and Credit Quality

Investment Talk

AVC partners review Veronika’s participation in the Russian Portfolio Investment Conference where she discussed our Dividend Investment Research (DIR), and the new 13 to 15% income tax for Russian non-residents, down from 30%.   We reviewed the influence of recent central bank actions stocks and bond pricing. Credit quality is likely to become more of …

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Investing in COVID-19 Times

Markets are near all-time highs across the board. The NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) has outperformed all major indexes as investors flock to quality technology names such as AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, FB and GOOG. These stocks account for a full 50% of the NASDAQ’s gains since the COVID low on March 23, 2020. More COVID Cases Despite …

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Friday Investment Talk: ESG, Corporate Debt, and Fundamental Weakness

This Friday we follow up on our ESG webinar from Wednesday. ESG ETFs have witnessed explosive growth in terms of AUM and number of listings. ESG outperfomance vis-a-vis SPX and even the NDX is evident lately. Certain institutional investors have pushed this stretched trend recently. Many market indicators (both fundamental and technical) are very overbought. …

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Friday Investment Talk: Overbought Markets Headed Into Summer

Friday Investment Talks
Stocks are still bullish from a technical point of view - the Put/Call ratio is overbought, but not yet negative. All time highs for percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages (95%). Seasonality is generally weak in summer months, but summers are better in election years than other months in election years, and better than in summer months in non-election years. Research from Bank of America, Cylicals could take the lead in the summer, as social media and tech companies under polical pressure.

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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