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In stark contrast to last year, 2023 is off to a bullish start. S&P 500 finished the month strong with a 6.2% gain. The January Barometer is positive! This is the best S&P January since 2019 which was also the last year the S&P 500 completed our bullish January Indicator Trifecta. The January Indicator Trifecta …

January’s Forecast for 2023 Read More »

Next week inflation numbers and the final Fed meeting for 2022 will provide investors a narrative for the rest of the years trading. As the market is up strongly in the last 5 weeks, energy is starting to signal economic weakness going forward.
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Either the US is already half way into a recession or maybe half way through one. Markets perform well in most case before and after recessions. Weakness is greatest during recessions.
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What is the probability now of a recession? With employment optimism pitted against inflation pessimism, we look at the odds.
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A surprising Russian invasion in Ukraine has thrown the world back to a Cold War status. Mid-term election years are when these types of political and economic upheavals usually reveal their ugly heads. Going forward the market will work to find a bottom during a likely volatile year for investors.
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Reports are circulating in the British press that the Home Secretary (UK’s interior Minister) will announce an end to the so-called Golden Visa for UK immigrants. These Visas allowed High Net Worth individuals to buy a fast track to UK residency and ultimately citizenship.
A little known fact is one of the multitude of variables used by the UK pensions authority to calculate state pension liabilities involve both expected mortality AND the ratio that has on time spent working verses retirement.
US markets were top performers in 2021. Fed tapering became the year's theme as inflation began showing up in the Spring. Bonds sold off, and yields rose. Chinese companies suffered as a crackdown on foreign listed stocks erupted in Q3. The US maintains its top ranking of all equity markets going into 2022.
Big red flags waving around a recent SPAC company that could set a precedent for future companies going public. Expect more than just fines.
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The Castlestone Next Generation Fund uses many of the advances in technology. We tell about a fascinating update and fabulous insight into the opportunities in technology stocks of the fund.
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