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Tag: bonds

Seasonality: Sell Signal Triggers

Last week, the MACD line on the two of the largest and well followed US Indexes rolled over to sell signals. This ends the bullish 6-month period through April.

Private Debt: US Consumer Loans

US consumer loans
Every year, major US banks are forced to de-leverage their balance sheets and sell off portfolios of consumer loans at deep discounts to experienced buyers. This Bond provides access to this distressed asset class.
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Friday Investment Talk: Semiconductors, Inflation, Bonds and Biotech

Friday Investment Talk Feb19
The global semiconductor shortage calls for capital investments. Commodity inflation is here. CPIs are low still, but long bonds sell off. Biotech is a sweet spot.

FRIDAY INVESTMENT TALK: Future Technologies, Russia, Growth to Value, AAII Sentiment, MELI

Again looking at the hot tech sector, the potential value to growth rotation, Russia as a value and dividend play, and some contrarian bullish indictaors for stocks while bonds are simply stretched very far. Mercado Libre (MELI) stock reports next week and BAML is out with a nice target price for the bulls.

Friday Investment Talk: Russian Taxes, Market Valuation, MLPs and Credit Quality

Investment Talk

AVC partners review Veronika’s participation in the Russian Portfolio Investment Conference where she discussed our Dividend Investment Research (DIR), and the new 13 to 15% income tax for Russian non-residents, down from 30%.   We reviewed the influence of recent central bank actions stocks and bond pricing. Credit quality is likely to become more of …

Friday Investment Talk: Russian Taxes, Market Valuation, MLPs and Credit Quality Read More »

Friday Investment Talk: Fallen Angels, Gold vs Miners, and Weak Seasonality

FIT: Bonds, Gold, Seasonality
AVC partners discuss corporate bonds from some surprising names now considered "Fallen Angels". Gold, inflation and the undervalued gold miners are discussed in relation to the current overbought market. Thursday's huge sell off is a set up for a last run of strength before real seasonal weakness sets in.

Seasonal Strategy Update: Fear in October Unleashes the Seasonal Bull

October Market Bear
October is the last month of the worst six months for the S&P 500 and worst four months for the NASDAQ. So it is time to begin preparing for a switch to a more bullish stance.
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Give Me a 50, a 200, and a Death Cross!

Today, Citigroup reported earnings in line with analysts expectations, but warned of weakness in its fixed income business. This resonates with our own concerns for the US debt market. Both government bonds and corporate bond yields have been under pressure for months as we have seen an inversion of the yield curve in some U.S. …

Give Me a 50, a 200, and a Death Cross! Read More »

Debt, More Debt and BAML sees Unicorns!

Walls needed, walls built As the old adage goes, “markets climb a wall of worry”, so in good fashion BAML tapped into its inner Trump in its weekly market review to make certain sure that investors have a wall! While the US Federal Reserve tries to atleast stabilize its debt to GDP ratio – something …

Debt, More Debt and BAML sees Unicorns! Read More »

How to Short Long-Term Bonds?

With the US Fed widely expected to raise interest rates several times in 2018, we get many questions about how to take a position that could benefit from the rate hikes using low cost ETFs. The ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) stands out as a good idea. As bond prices and interest rates are …

How to Short Long-Term Bonds? Read More »

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