Seasonality: Sell Signal Triggers
Last week, the MACD line on the two of the largest and well followed US Indexes rolled over to sell signals. This ends the bullish 6-month period through April.
Friday Investment Talk: Billionaires, US Fed, and Seasonal Weakness
We count new Billionaires, while Biden sees room to tax. Jim Grant says the Fed is likely to get blind-sided. Seasonality hits a wall.
Private Debt: US Consumer Loans
Every year, major US banks are forced to de-leverage their balance sheets and sell off portfolios of consumer loans at deep discounts to experienced buyers. This Bond provides access to this distressed asset class.
Friday Investment Talk: UK Budget, Bonds, and SPACs
UK budget changes were announced with repercussions for tax payers and pensioners. Buffet on bonds, and SPACs boom.
Friday Investment Talk: Semiconductors, Inflation, Bonds and Biotech
The global semiconductor shortage calls for capital investments. Commodity inflation is here. CPIs are low still, but long bonds sell off. Biotech is a sweet spot.
FRIDAY INVESTMENT TALK: Future Technologies, Russia, Growth to Value, AAII Sentiment, MELI
Again looking at the hot tech sector, the potential value to growth rotation, Russia as a value and dividend play, and some contrarian bullish indictaors for stocks while bonds are simply stretched very far. Mercado Libre (MELI) stock reports next week and BAML is out with a nice target price for the bulls.
Friday Investment Talk: Russian Taxes, Market Valuation, MLPs and Credit Quality
AVC partners review Veronika’s participation in the Russian Portfolio Investment Conference where she discussed our Dividend Investment Research (DIR), and the new 13 to 15% income tax for Russian non-residents, down from 30%. We reviewed the influence of recent central bank actions stocks and bond pricing. Credit quality is likely to become more of Read more ➝
Friday Investment Talk: Fallen Angels, Gold vs Miners, and Weak Seasonality
AVC partners discuss corporate bonds from some surprising names now considered “Fallen Angels”. Gold, inflation and the undervalued gold miners are discussed in relation to the current overbought market. Thursday’s huge sell off is a set up for a last run of strength before real seasonal weakness sets in.
Seasonal Strategy Update: Fear in October Unleashes the Seasonal Bull
October is the last month of the worst six months for the S&P 500 and worst four months for the NASDAQ. So it is time to begin preparing for a switch to a more bullish stance.
Give Me a 50, a 200, and a Death Cross!
Today, Citigroup reported earnings in line with analysts expectations, but warned of weakness in its fixed income business. This resonates with our own concerns for the US debt market. Both government bonds and corporate bond yields have been under pressure for months as we have seen an inversion of the yield curve in some U.S. Read more ➝