Halloween Trading Strategy
Halloween typically offers investors a treat. A six day trading period starting next week is usually very bullish.
Friday Investment Talk: Oil and Energy, US Elections, Healthcare and Biotech, and a Tech Rebound
Oil and the energy sector have been beat up in September. Is there value there? Meanwhile, healthcare is being reviatalized. The tech sell off may be over for awhile, as markets show signs of being oversold.
FRIDAY INVESTMENT TALK: COVID Property Trends, Abenomics and the EU, and the US Tech Sell Off
Investing in COVID-19 Times
Markets are near all-time highs across the board. The NASDAQ 100 (QQQ) has outperformed all major indexes as investors flock to quality technology names such as AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, FB and GOOG. These stocks account for a full 50% of the NASDAQ’s gains since the COVID low on March 23, 2020. More COVID Cases Despite Read more ➝
Friday Investment Talk: ESG, Corporate Debt, and Fundamental Weakness
This Friday we follow up on our ESG webinar from Wednesday. ESG ETFs have witnessed explosive growth in terms of AUM and number of listings. ESG outperfomance vis-a-vis SPX and even the NDX is evident lately. Certain institutional investors have pushed this stretched trend recently. Many market indicators (both fundamental and technical) are very overbought. Read more ➝
NASDAQ Positive Seasonal Streak Ending
NASDAQ Seasonality has changed to a more negative stance after today’s negative performance. Caution is warranted in tech stocks. Bonds can be added as summer months can provide weakness to stocks.
FRIDAY INVESTMENT TALK: NDX at all time highs
Markets are still bullish, although even more overbought than last week. Today’s unexpected employment report provides fuel for higher prices. MLPs are leading momentum in all high dividend paying ETFs. Defense and Transportation (Airlines) showed strength this week. Value plays have rebounded sharply, while software companies look vulnerable with high valuations. Defaults are rising. Investors have piled money into cash equivalents. We look at the EUR/USD and Palladium also.
December Seasonal Outlook: Santa Claus Rally & Year End Highs
Novemeber is tracking the seasonal patterns very closely. We still expect a mild pullback early next week, but from then on we are likely to see post-Thanksgiving gains. Early December can be disappointing for bullish traders, but as Christmas approaches the bulls come back to the parade.
Seasonal Strategy Update: NASDAQ MACD
A Nasdaq Sell signal is imminent.