October can invoke fear into investors as it is usually a weak month. However, October often marks the lows for the year. Stay diligent!
US stock markets continue to see an extreme concentration of interest in a small number of stocks. Does this signal an imminent sell off or will market participation broaden?
Portfolio managers returning to work after Labor Day tend to clean house. Since 1950, September is the worst performing month of the year. A bullish election-year does little to improve on September’s poor overall performance.
S&P 500 has declined 9 of the last twelve years on the first trading day. Options Expiration week (Triple Witching for September) is usually bullish, but beware after that!
The month of August is usually one of the worst months of the year for US stocks. In years of a US presidential election (like 2020), August holds a special spot in the calendar for certain stocks.
NASDAQ’s mid-year rally (described here in late June) came to an end on July 14. From mid-July, the second quarter is usually plagued with poor performance. Enthusiam and large amounts of cash on the sidelines could keep stock prices aflot. Hower, defensive positioning seems a more reasonable bet.
Everyone seems to be hoping for the stock market to find support here, already so much damage has been done.
A great deal of uncertainty remains for the world economy and health crisis. April looks like a good time for a bear market bounce.
Further out, investors should experience a rough ride in the market this year with quite a bit of choppy trading.
After stocks suffer large declines, certain companies perform better during a rebound. Besides focusing on timing the bottom, investors need to know what is likely to perform best. We show some historical statistics to get investors ready.
After the close on Thursday, the main US markets entered a bear market for the first time in 11 years. A simple virus killed the bull.
How long do bear markets last, and are they always accompanied by a recession? We take a look at history to find answers.
Unlike weather and the biblical tales, stock markets in March usually start with stability and turn wild with volatility towards the end.
Novemeber is tracking the seasonal patterns very closely. We still expect a mild pullback early next week, but from then on we are likely to see post-Thanksgiving gains. Early December can be disappointing for bullish traders, but as Christmas approaches the bulls come back to the parade.