Seasonal Update: October Uncertainties

After five straight monthly gains, the US stock market finally came under pressure in September. The NASDAQ hit the ‘correction level’ of a 10% slide. Markets have rebounded, but October is usually weak. Patience is needed for entry into the seasonally positive part of the year.

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Scary September Seasonality

Portfolio managers returning to work after Labor Day tend to clean house. Since 1950, September is the worst performing month of the year. A bullish election-year does little to improve on September’s poor overall performance.

S&P 500 has declined 9 of the last twelve years on the first trading day. Options Expiration week (Triple Witching for September) is usually bullish, but beware after that!

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