April Outlook: Bear Market Bounce
Everyone seems to be hoping for the stock market to find support here, already so much damage has been done.
A great deal of uncertainty remains for the world economy and health crisis. April looks like a good time for a bear market bounce.
Further out, investors should experience a rough ride in the market this year with quite a bit of choppy trading.
The Battle with COVID-19
One of the fastest and most furious declines in stock market history has taken place . While similar declines have occured, they did not come as rapidlynor straight off a new all-time high. we cannot know if we have hit bottom yet – bottoms are only visible with a bit more hindsight. So speculating on the timing of a rebound, rally and recovery needs some leadership response.
March Seasonality: Stronger in Election in Years
Unlike weather and the biblical tales, stock markets in March usually start with stability and turn wild with volatility towards the end.
Stock Market Update: Big Names Surge, Small Ones Fizzle
Large Cap stocks make up most of the gains this year, far outpacing smaller stocks. A reversal of this trend could come soon, in March even.
January Negative Returns: What does it mean for the rest of the year?
January finished January down 0.2%. But the does not necessarily meaan the rest of the year will be. We look at the historical record to see how other years performed when January did not do well. It turns out 2 of 3 indicators often are enough to propel the markets higher.
December Seasonal Outlook: Santa Claus Rally & Year End Highs
Novemeber is tracking the seasonal patterns very closely. We still expect a mild pullback early next week, but from then on we are likely to see post-Thanksgiving gains. Early December can be disappointing for bullish traders, but as Christmas approaches the bulls come back to the parade.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: November
November is generally a very good month for US stocks. However, in years preceeding US Presidential elections, November has not always shown a strong performance. This year, options expiration week comes early. Our calendar shows the dates investors need to watch.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: September – Part 2
September’s markets can be much weaker than usual. Investors often looking to precious metals and bonds as areas of safety. Semiconductors are usually the weakest sector.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: September
Even during pre-election years in the US, markets are their weakest in September. The last week of the month is extremely weak.
Seasonal Trade Strategy: August
August has been the worst performing month of the year over the last 31 years. Money flows from harvesting made August a great stock market month in the first half of the Twentieth Century. It was the best month from 1901 to 1951. In 1900, 37.5% of the US population was farming. Now that less Read more ➝