Friday Investment Talk: Bonds Weakness and Equity Strength
Bonds are now worst performers than stocks since the beginning of the year. Such pessimism in bond prices has not been seen for decades. Meanwhile, interest rate hikes are usually bullish for equities during the first few months of increases. Value stocks broke out to new highs this week as market internals turn more bullish. Read more ➝
Friday Investment Talk: Bond Yields, AVC Investment Strategy, Recession
Bond Yields are nearing 2% in US and Italy. This has killed the long term Austrian bond we love to look at. Investing in energy, precious metals and defense contractors has paid off since the start of the year. Our strategies show strong outperformance compared to the $SPX. Recession is predicted by the S&P 500 Read more ➝
Cold War 2.0
A surprising Russian invasion in Ukraine has thrown the world back to a Cold War status. Mid-term election years are when these types of political and economic upheavals usually reveal their ugly heads. Going forward the market will work to find a bottom during a likely volatile year for investors.
Friday Investment Talk: Macroeconomics, Financial Repression in 2022
High debt levels and inflation create difficulties for investors in 2022. ‘Financial Repression’ could become a household phrase. Inflationary pressures will put certain sectors in the spotlight. We watch oil and gas exploration and production, consumer staples and real estate as places for outperformance. A quick look the Russian ETF (RSX) reveals its need to Read more ➝
Friday Investment Talk: Retirement Investing, China, Inflation
Retirees search for dividends, enduring low returns while risking running our of money. Managing withdrawals can extend and grow retirement savings.
China and inflation news headlines sent markets lower in September. Seasonality changes for the better in October.
Video: Interest Rates
Today’s release of unemployment statistics in the US is impressive. Analyst comments put the current interest rate jitters in a historical perspective.
Friday Investment Talk: US Mortgage Rates, Income, and Inflation
Inflation threats scared the market, and sent tech shares down. We discuss seasonality and highlight weakness can resurface after a bounce.
Friday Investment Talk: Semiconductors, Inflation, Bonds and Biotech
The global semiconductor shortage calls for capital investments. Commodity inflation is here. CPIs are low still, but long bonds sell off. Biotech is a sweet spot.
US Yields on the Rise
Over the last few days, Treasury yields have risen significantly as Democratic wins in Georgia are likely to lead to more COVID relief spending. Besides looking at the the potential effects on the market, we address a few strategies to mitigate the risk of rising rates in a fixed income portfolio.
COVID Emergency Funds, the Price of Gold, and the Stock Market
Having one’s cake and not eating it. When I came to Russia, my first summer was hot and sunny and I took to cycling, exploring the city’s cycle paths, one of my favourites being the one that runs along Bolshaya Nikitskaya up to the Garden Ring. For those unfamiliar, the Garden Ring is a ring Read more ➝