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Tag: inflation

October Bear Killer?

October is known as the 'bear killer' month. In US mid-term election years it can provide especially strong returns. With the economy faltering and inflation still too hot, investors are skeptical. We wait for confirmed bullish signals as markets set up for a bounce.

Friday Investment Talk: Bond Yields, AVC Investment Strategy, Recession

Bond Yields are nearing 2% in US and Italy. This has killed the long term Austrian bond we love to look at. Investing in energy, precious metals and defense contractors has paid off since the start of the year. Our strategies show strong outperformance compared to the $SPX. Recession is predicted by the S&P 500 …

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Forecasting a Recession

JeromePowell
What is the probability now of a recession? With employment optimism pitted against inflation pessimism, we look at the odds.
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Cold War 2.0

A surprising Russian invasion in Ukraine has thrown the world back to a Cold War status. Mid-term election years are when these types of political and economic upheavals usually reveal their ugly heads. Going forward the market will work to find a bottom during a likely volatile year for investors.
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Friday Investment Talk: Inflation, Bonds, Quality Stocks

Inflation has pushed interest rates higher and wrecked havoc in bond markets. Investors turn away from SAAS towards ‘reopening stocks’ in the Industrial sector. This rotation has crimped the markets so far this year and could spell trouble for most of 2022.

2021 US Markets Review

US markets were top performers in 2021. Fed tapering became the year's theme as inflation began showing up in the Spring. Bonds sold off, and yields rose. Chinese companies suffered as a crackdown on foreign listed stocks erupted in Q3. The US maintains its top ranking of all equity markets going into 2022.

Friday Investment Talk: Retirement Investing, China, Inflation

inflation employment financial stability
Retirees search for dividends, enduring low returns while risking running our of money. Managing withdrawals can extend and grow retirement savings. China and inflation news headlines sent markets lower in September. Seasonality changes for the better in October.

Friday Investment Talk: Lithium, Iron Ore, Palladium, Inflation

Friday Investment Talk

Lithium prices are set to rise over the next decade. We have previously discussed Albemarle (ALB) and Sociedad Química y Minera (SQM) as main beneficiaries of this trend. We review these again during this week’s Live Facebook chat. Other metals, like iron ore and palladium look to have peaked recently after strong runs. Chinese PMI …

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Friday Investment Talk: PPLI, US Recovery & Jobs Data

Economist Normalcy Index

As the US and many other countries discuss raising individual income taxes, private placement life insurance comes again into focus. Its always been a mechanism to legally hide investments from taxes, but now it is receiving a renewed interest from even less wealthy individuals. A bullish fund manager feels a return to normalcy will send …

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Friday Investment Talk: China, EM Inflation, Dividends

Yields of VNQ, DVY, TLT

Chinese stocks have been pounded lately as Xi puts pressure on companies to provide funding for socially beneficial projects. Arm twisting seems at play, as wealthy businessmen kowtow to politicians. Emerging markets face inflation as natural disasters, COVID and supply chain issues fuel shortages. Dividend ETFs always generate attention. We compare $DVY to owning the …

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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