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Tag: S&P 500

May Should Be Worse

Following 5 months of gains, April will likely end with a first negative monthly return in 2024. This provides worry for a weak May also.

December Stay Bullish

December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.
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Pre-Election Year November

November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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Volatility and Future Returns

With realized market volatility remaining muted in recent weeks and expected volatility (i.e., the VIX) sitting at multi-year lows, today we examined the relationship in the perspective of forward returns.
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December: A Slow Starter

With greater than 5% gain in the main US indexes in both October and November this year, December is expected to start slow and then gain steam as the Santa Clause Rally comes to town.
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October Bear Killer?

October is known as the 'bear killer' month. In US mid-term election years it can provide especially strong returns. With the economy faltering and inflation still too hot, investors are skeptical. We wait for confirmed bullish signals as markets set up for a bounce.
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Mid-Term Matters

The US presidential election cycle last four years and shows definitive patterns historical that point to weakness in the first half of the second year. This leads to a run up in Q4 following thru to Q1 of year 3. This is known as the 'sweet spot' for investors.

Are Markets “Getting Ahead of Themselves”?

For about 6 weeks the market has moved higher. This momentum takes many indicators to extremely overbought levels. This typically leads to weak price action going forward.
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Investment Strategy Update

November started out very strong, but around the middle of the month small cap stocks began to struggle. Large cap stocks (especially the favored technology and consumer discretionary stocks) went on to make all time highs later in the month. However, during the generally bullish period of the year - around Thanksgiving (Thursday, November 25th) -the large cap leaders also started to sell off.

November Leads Off

Wall Street Bull
November leads into the best months of the year. Trading around Thanksgiving is a bit tricky.
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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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