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Tag: Santa Claus Rally

The Santa Claus Rally is a phenomenon in the stock markets that consists of a rise in stock prices from the last week of December to the first two days of January. The S&P 500 has averaged gains of 1.10% in retrospect during this rally. Will there be a Santa Claus Rally this year?
Looking beyond 2020 economic strength, forecasts for 2021 are very positive. US cash levels remain elevated as markets hit all time highs. The USD weakens, while emerging markets strengthen and small caps come under pressure. FAAMG stocks take some of the Santa Claus Rally leadership.
The month of January has quite a bullish reputation among investors, but post election years tend to be weaker then others.
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Novemeber is tracking the seasonal patterns very closely. We still expect a mild pullback early next week, but from then on we are likely to see post-Thanksgiving gains. Early December can be disappointing for bullish traders, but as Christmas approaches the bulls come back to the parade.
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