Looking beyond 2021 economic strength, forecasts for 2022 are very positive. US cash levels remain elevated as markets hit all time highs. The USD weakens, while emerging markets strengthen and small caps come under pressure. FAAMG stocks take some of the Santa Claus Rally leadership.
The month of January has quite a bullish reputation among investors, but post election years tend to be weaker then others.
Novemeber is tracking the seasonal patterns very closely. We still expect a mild pullback early next week, but from then on we are likely to see post-Thanksgiving gains. Early December can be disappointing for bullish traders, but as Christmas approaches the bulls come back to the parade.