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We review the US Democratic sweep as it applies to the sectors responding to more stimulus, regulation and COVID vaccines. Morgan Stanley and Citibank like airlines, including Southwest Airlines, GOL Linhas, and British Air Group. Small cap stock picks continue to perform well, even as markets become more overbought.
Looking beyond 2020 economic strength, forecasts for 2021 are very positive. US cash levels remain elevated as markets hit all time highs. The USD weakens, while emerging markets strengthen and small caps come under pressure. FAAMG stocks take some of the Santa Claus Rally leadership.
Certain market indicators are at levels of extreme bullishness. The run up in value stocks since the US elections has been shocking. Now is a good time to lighten up on bullish bets.
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The month of January has quite a bullish reputation among investors, but post election years tend to be weaker then others.
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Investment banks are very bullish on economic growth and stock market performance in 2021, with expectations of low inflation, low interest rates, a weakening USD and Asian export growth. Small caps continued to lead in December, piling on gains after a record setting November. Bitcoin bits new highs, but its Fintech that has investment bankers interest. Meanwhile, big tech moves sideways.
Jennison, perhaps unsurprisingly, has had a super year with its tech heavy allocations. Ecommerce, payment systems and cloud computing have led it to its top tier ranking at Citywire.
With more than 25% short interest, this $40 Billion US mortgage provider could be heading for a 25% gain in coming months.
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Markets have hit the typical weak part of December right on schedule. Things should brighten for the bulls by Christmas. Copper has been strong and is entering a seasonally bullish time of the year .
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Fund Managers returns in November impress. Sector investing through a value/growth lens when the two opposites are not so clearly divided. Markets showing signs of rolling over. A 'No Deal' Brexit looks more certain.
This week we review Bitcoin's recent advance, USD weakness, Emerging Markets, November stock market strength, and a psilocybin company.
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