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With greater than 5% gain in the main US indexes in both October and November this year, December is expected to start slow and then gain steam as the Santa Clause Rally comes to town.
With the Dow up over 14% so far in October 2022, US markets are on pace to record their best October performance ever going back to 1901. While many retail investors remain bearish (see the AAII Sentiment Poll results below), we feel a new bull market is emerging – at least for the near term. …

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October is known as the 'bear killer' month. In US mid-term election years it can provide especially strong returns. With the economy faltering and inflation still too hot, investors are skeptical. We wait for confirmed bullish signals as markets set up for a bounce.
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For about 6 weeks the market has moved higher. This momentum takes many indicators to extremely overbought levels. This typically leads to weak price action going forward.
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US markets besieged by unexpected inflation data. Chinese stocks get a boost from stimulus. Gold looks bullish.
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April is historically a great month for stocks. However, in mid-term election years like 2022, its just mediocre.
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