Tag: Seasonality
- 19.07.2020
- Categories: Analytics, Investing basics, Investment ideas, Personal finance
- Tags: dividend, FAANG, Health Care, Seasonality, SPX, Tech
Are markets overbought? The narrow bull market in FAANG and some other technology stocks has led to concern among analysts that stocks are out of sync with the economy. We explore how interest rate assumptions affect analyst pricing in discounted cash flow models and lead to inflated asset prices. A discussion of the opposite case …
- 13.06.2020
- Categories: Analytics, Investment ideas
- Tags: bonds, GDX, GDXJ, GLD, HYG, JNK, QQQ, Seasonality
AVC partners discuss corporate bonds from some surprising names now considered "Fallen Angels". Gold, inflation and the undervalued gold miners are discussed in relation to the current overbought market. Thursday's huge sell off is a set up for a last run of strength before real seasonal weakness sets in.
- 31.05.2020
- Categories: Analytics, Investment ideas, Personal finance
- Tags: FTSE100, Seasonality, Sectors, SPX, TLT, XLI
Stocks are still bullish from a technical point of view - the Put/Call ratio is overbought, but not yet negative.
All time highs for percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages (95%).
Seasonality is generally weak in summer months, but summers are better in election years than other months in election years, and better than in summer months in non-election years. Research from Bank of America,
Cylicals could take the lead in the summer, as social media and tech companies under polical pressure.