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Tag: Seasonality

The month of January has quite a bullish reputation among investors, but post election years tend to be weaker then others.
A rally in underperforming small cap stocks is likely during January. We highlight a few names of interest here.
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Markets have hit the typical weak part of December right on schedule. Things should brighten for the bulls by Christmas. Copper has been strong and is entering a seasonally bullish time of the year .
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December seasonality after the November jobs report can turn weak until the later part of the month. Buying positions in bullish sectors is useful during this period. Oil and energy stocks perform well, while gold and silver enter a weak period.
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November is a very strong month for US equities, but in an election year it really shines for the SPX and DJIA. Its much weaker for tech and small cap stocks.
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We take a first glance at Bank of America research on which sectors will benefit under the four possible election results in the US. Meanwhile, US sector rotation is visible. Investors are moving from technology to industrials. Emerging markets are holding up, also. Gold and Silver are flat. Barron’s highlights the possibility of Japan and …

Friday Investment Talk: US Elections, Seasonality, Europe, Japan and Emerging Markets Read More »

Next week starts the Jewish holidays and the relevant market adage, "Sell on Rosh Hashanah and buy on Yom Kippur” comes into play. Historically, the SPX was down roughly 58% of the time during this period.
October can invoke fear into investors as it is usually a weak month. However, October often marks the lows for the year. Stay diligent!
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The month of August is usually one of the worst months of the year for US stocks. In years of a US presidential election (like 2020), August holds a special spot in the calendar for certain stocks.
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Are markets overbought? The narrow bull market in FAANG and some other technology stocks has led to concern among analysts that stocks are out of sync with the economy. We explore how interest rate assumptions affect analyst pricing in discounted cash flow models and lead to inflated asset prices.  A discussion of the opposite case …

Friday Investment Talk: Valuations, Growth to Value Transition, Gold and Healthcare Stocks Read More »

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