Inflation has pushed interest rates higher and wrecked havoc in bond markets. Investors turn away from SAAS towards ‘reopening stocks’ in the Industrial sector. This rotation has crimped the markets so far this year and could spell trouble for most of 2022.
Biotech indexes are not created equally. XBI is an equal weighted smaller cap index, while IBB is market cap with large weightings in COVID vaccine producers. Their results were very divergent in 2021. Markets have grown substantially in 2021 on the back of loose monetary and fiscal policy in the US (and around the world). Read more ➝
Ray Dalio suggests gifting gold coins for Christmas, while investors set records for ETF inflows in 2021. ESG ETFs grew while IPO ETFs underperform. Markets sold off in December providing a bullish setup in two pet supply companies as put/call ratios roll over to buy signals for the S&P 500 index. Beware of mid-term US Read more ➝
Energy markets look to be in a long term bull market with continued strength in oil prices fueling additional exploration. Real Estate prices for residential housing are rising faster than rents. Likely rents will play catch up in 2022. Sector rotation towards quality and low volatility is taking place since the Federal Reserve has began Read more ➝
High debt levels and inflation create difficulties for investors in 2022. ‘Financial Repression’ could become a household phrase. Inflationary pressures will put certain sectors in the spotlight. We watch oil and gas exploration and production, consumer staples and real estate as places for outperformance. A quick look the Russian ETF (RSX) reveals its need to Read more ➝
Markets sold off on the day after Thanksgiving in the US. What is typically a bullish period for the markets proved an undoing. The markets had their worst day of the year in 2021 and the worst Black Friday since 1931. Turkey is suffering an economic meltdown that is spreading to civic unrest. The lira Read more ➝
COP26 hits Glasgow ushering in a chance for governments to change corporate rules on environmental policies. Accounting standards are one area of focus. Main issues include reducing emissions (adoption of EVs and reduction of coal industries), deforestation, diet change, and new tech for emerging markets. Clean Energy Tech ETF (ICLN) looks interesting as US small Read more ➝
Fallen Angels fly again. Facebook changes its name. Investors are happy.
China turns around, Brazil swoons, Crypto ETFs launch – all as November rolls in and starts off the bullish season
As seasonality turns bullish, we look at fundamental changes in economic indicators and technical market action. We see many opportunities in equities and highlight healthcare, natural resources, and technology companies.