Volatility in the US has exploded, throwing the markets into disarray. The intermediate-term trend is bearish, with extreme oversold conditions likely to produce sharp, but short-lived, rallies. We will look at some important indicators to see how oversold the markets are and what usually happens at times when markets sell off quickly.
Unlike weather and the biblical tales, stock markets in March usually start with stability and turn wild with volatility towards the end.
Large Cap stocks make up most of the gains this year, far outpacing smaller stocks. A reversal of this trend could come soon, in March even.
Relative strength-based investing performs best when there is a high level of dispersion between market leaders and laggards. Since the beginning of this year, this has been the case. Semicondutors, software, waste management and computer technology sectors are leading, while oil related stocks are lagging.
Using relative strength-based investing strategies can lead to significant long term market outperfomance compared to ‘buy and hold’ strategies.
With the US economic indicators faltering, everyone wants ideas on how to reduce their invetsment portfolio risk. Here are so ideas, and also a simple analysis of which US sectors are performing well.
I write here to set out my thoughts on the use of life insurance as an investment vehicle, in the Russian context. Clients of all the jurisdictions invariably seek to optimise their tax position in which they operate. This includes holding assets that are so-called passive investments. There is a long history of legal systems Read more ➝
Below we show a correlation matrix of some of the more popular US ETFs. As a reminder, the closer the correlation is to +1 the stronger the positive relationship. And the closer the number to —1 the stronger the negative relationship. How can we use this knowledge? Two ways: Diversification. One of the tenants of Read more ➝
We review common measures of volatility, breadth, volume and investor setiment to determine how much more of a pullback the US markets might witness.
Investors are expecting a decerease in US interest rates this month. Usually, that is bullish for markets when the indexes are near all time highs.
Recently Bloomberg commented on a newly released study by Hendrik Bessembinder regarding how many global stocks that actually perform well. Variations of this study have been done by a number of different academics and practitioners – all with fairly similar conclusions – many stocks are duds. Two years ago, an Arizona State University professor made waves Read more ➝