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Our observations, insights and news from the investment world

Friday Investment Talk: Europe, Inflation, Interest Rates

Markets were again weak with the $SPX falling 1.6% during the usually bullish options expirations week. European markets and gold showed strength, while energy stocks stay on their 2022 roll. Inflation fears has caused JP Morgan to look for 7 interest rate increase in 2022, yet none greater than 25 bps. Bank of America sees …

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Friday Investment Talk: Pockets of Strength

The inflationary environment and post-COVID reopening is leading to pockets of bullishness in the US equity markets. ‘Its a stock pickers market’ is heard among investors. Energy, Industrial and Consumer Staple companies are outperforming while the Nasdaq and S&P500 continue to struggle.

Hot CPI

Today's hot CPI numbers burned the market. The Fed's Bullard gets hawkish and may spell problems for the market going forward in February.
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February Seasonality

February has been getting lousier for investors. The first half is usually better than the second. Utilities and High Tech start bullish seasonal trends soon.
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Friday Investment Talk: Europe, Interest Rates, Market Volatility

European interest rates rising, while the US is geared up for 5 hikes of 25 basis points in 2022. The market has shown extreme volatility lately as the interest rate hikes don’t jive with corporate earnings and future guidance.

Friday Investment Talk: Fear and Market Suffering

Markets were on a wild ride in January, especially this last week. We expected this would be the 4th negative week for the markets, but strength in the last few hours turned this week positive. On many levels and by many measures the market is extremely oversold, but so far few buy signals have developed. …

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More Volatility in February

While the fundamental economic outlook remains positive for US markets, inflation and high stock multiples are wearing on investor sentiment. February could offer a reprieve for the market in the volatile mid-term election year.
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Friday Investment Talk: Inflation, Bonds, Quality Stocks

Inflation has pushed interest rates higher and wrecked havoc in bond markets. Investors turn away from SAAS towards ‘reopening stocks’ in the Industrial sector. This rotation has crimped the markets so far this year and could spell trouble for most of 2022.

Reduction in Life Expectations means State Pension “Bonus” – UK Pensions Update 2022

A little known fact is one of the multitude of variables used by the UK pensions authority to calculate state pension liabilities involve both expected mortality AND the ratio that has on time spent working verses retirement.

Friday Investment Talk: Biotech, 2022 Forecast, M&A, Fusion Energy

Biotech indexes are not created equally. XBI is an equal weighted smaller cap index, while IBB is market cap with large weightings in COVID vaccine producers. Their results were very divergent in 2021. Markets have grown substantially in 2021 on the back of loose monetary and fiscal policy in the US (and around the world). …

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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