+ 7 (495) 684-04-00

Tag: SPX

Volaitlity is spiking to levels not seen since 2008. Should long-term minded investors run for shelter? With no light at the end of the tunnel these bleak times seem desperate. But what happens usually after VIX spikes like the one we are currently experiencing? We look at the months and years after intense volaitility to find solace in the future of the economy.
After the close on Thursday, the main US markets entered a bear market for the first time in 11 years. A simple virus killed the bull. How long do bear markets last, and are they always accompanied by a recession? We take a look at history to find answers.
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
Volatility in the US has exploded, throwing the markets into disarray. The intermediate-term trend is bearish, with extreme oversold conditions likely to produce sharp, but short-lived, rallies. We will look at some important indicators to see how oversold the markets are and what usually happens at times when markets sell off quickly.
Large daily moves in both directions of 2-5% and huge intraday swings have taken a toll on markets and psyches. But the February 28 low has held through this week’s wild swings. According to sector seasonality, there are two sectors that begin their seasonally favorable periods in March: High-Tech and Utilities.
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
Unlike weather and the biblical tales, stock markets in March usually start with stability and turn wild with volatility towards the end.
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
Large Cap stocks make up most of the gains this year, far outpacing smaller stocks. A reversal of this trend could come soon, in March even.
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
Relative strength-based investing performs best when there is a high level of dispersion between market leaders and laggards. Since the beginning of this year, this has been the case. Semicondutors, software, waste management and computer technology sectors are leading, while oil related stocks are lagging. Using relative strength-based investing strategies can lead to significant long term market outperfomance compared to 'buy and hold' strategies.
Natural Gas, Energy and Copper still have to show signs of life to fulfill their usual bullish winter runs. Meanwhile, Strong US equity markets have lead to excellent returns in the model portfolios that adhere to seasonal trade stratagies. Expect some modest seasonal weakness soon, though.
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
With the new year and new decade already here, the markets closed on one of the strongest years for the US equity market in the past decade.  The S&P 500 (SPX) was up nearly 29% in 2019 - the second best year in the 2010s, only 2013’s return of just over 29% beat it. All broad sectors produce gains last year, with nine out of the 11 broad sector SPDR ETFs posting gains greater than 20%. The top three sectors, using SPDR ETFs as proxies, were technology (XLK), communication services (XLC, basically a technology ETF), and financials (XLF), returning 47.90%, 29.92%, and 29.22%, respectively. Energy (XLE), on the other hand, was
With worldwide central bank rate cuts at record highs and inflated SPX valuations, Wall Street earnings estimates for Q1 2020 look excessive. This is a typical sign of last cycle bull market. Mega-caps are able to outperform and hold earnings margins, but can they continue? We review what JP Morgan and BAML analysts have to say about the current state of the US economic landscape. Why would they make top recommendations in Energy, Small Caps, Industrials and Transportation for 2020?
To access this post, you must purchase Subscription Plan – AVC Pro.
Scroll to Top