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Last week, BoA published two articles that seemingly opposing forecasts for global equity markets. After closer look, BoA puts forth a strong case for sector rotation, as the global economy performs a soft-landing.
When looking at the seasonal patterns for election years, like 2024, mostly bullish patterns appear for the US markets. The most bullish scenario is when there is a sitting president running for reelection. In those years, NASDAQ has averaged a full-year gain of 19.14%. This is much stronger than the 12.73% average gain in all …

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A list of stocks likely to bounce after tax loss harvesting.
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Two companies seem poised for continued strong upside appreciation. Overall descretionary healthcare spend still increasing.
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As Hyperscalers like Microsoft and Amazon develop their cloud computing, one chip stock stands to benefit as the companies build specific chips for their servers.
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December is better than November in Pre-election years for the most part. Weakness in the beginning will lead to a good run in the end of the month.
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November marks the beginning of the bullish season for stocks, especially small caps. As the market moves to bullishness we have witnessed a huge rally.
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Usually Octobers turn back on the bullish signals for the market. In pre-election years Octobers can be very weak, however.
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September gets no respite from positive pre-election year forces. Positive year returns going into what becomes a bad August leads to a better chance of September being a decent month, however.
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With realized market volatility remaining muted in recent weeks and expected volatility (i.e., the VIX) sitting at multi-year lows, today we examined the relationship in the perspective of forward returns.
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