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Category: Analytics

Sell Signals Heading into July

July Sell Signal MACD
Simple sell signals are appearing, including the lack of momentum in leading stocks recently. July in pre-election years is weaker than average Julys. A NASDAQ mid-July rally could occur.

No Bulls in May

Sell In May
May is not an inspiring month for investors. Only a couple of sectors usually post positive gains. Election years are no different.
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January’s Forecast for 2023

In stark contrast to last year, 2023 is off to a bullish start. S&P 500 finished the month strong with a 6.2% gain. The January Barometer is positive! This is the best S&P January since 2019 which was also the last year the S&P 500 completed our bullish January Indicator Trifecta. The January Indicator Trifecta …

January’s Forecast for 2023 Read More »

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December: A Slow Starter

With greater than 5% gain in the main US indexes in both October and November this year, December is expected to start slow and then gain steam as the Santa Clause Rally comes to town.
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October Bear Killer?

October is known as the 'bear killer' month. In US mid-term election years it can provide especially strong returns. With the economy faltering and inflation still too hot, investors are skeptical. We wait for confirmed bullish signals as markets set up for a bounce.
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September: Out of the Woods?

The summer rally has impressed as the major averages pushed back to their respective 200-day moving averages, a key technical level where they stalled last week. Now they are testing new short-term support around the June highs and the 50-day moving averages. Investors are clearly not out of the woods yet.
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Are Markets “Getting Ahead of Themselves”?

For about 6 weeks the market has moved higher. This momentum takes many indicators to extremely overbought levels. This typically leads to weak price action going forward.
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May is Worse

May shows poor performance in mid term election years, especially in the mid part of the month.
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April Powers

April Power
April is historically a great month for stocks. However, in mid-term election years like 2022, its just mediocre.
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Friday Investment Talk: Bonds Weakness and Equity Strength

Bonds are now worst performers than stocks since the beginning of the year. Such pessimism in bond prices has not been seen for decades. Meanwhile, interest rate hikes are usually bullish for equities during the first few months of increases. Value stocks broke out to new highs this week as market internals turn more bullish. …

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This information is not an individual investment recommendation, and the financial instruments or transactions mentioned in it may not correspond to your investment profile and investment goals (expectations). It is your task to determine whether a financial instrument or transaction matches your interests, investment objectives, investment horizon and acceptable risk level. AVC Adisvory, Inc. and its affiliates are not liable for possible losses in case of making transactions or investing in the financial instruments mentioned in this information, and do not recommend using this information as the only source of information when making an investment decision.

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